Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1312.745941 1496.182903 1701.194051 1948.247831 2239.140379 2572.277565 2984.831985
2025-08-17 1048.350846 1291.328111 1589.437530 1986.125253 2506.212959 3173.381918 4107.895658
2025-08-24 902.364814 1167.723463 1513.442829 2004.639023 2697.406421 3659.455455 5132.570988
2025-08-31 798.305435 1074.158645 1451.195172 2016.211908 2862.854415 4120.421613 6201.372315
2025-09-07 727.015766 1011.466001 1416.675137 2052.967002 3059.345997 4648.494549 7475.055329
2025-09-14 644.328116 920.487502 1327.095015 1990.187243 3086.517149 4908.408612 8354.644699
2025-09-21 577.543292 844.444127 1249.019916 1931.401512 3105.675054 5150.459992 9246.715243
2025-09-28 519.577362 775.248098 1172.830555 1863.755892 3096.175409 5335.337828 10065.351856
2025-10-05 497.670374 759.692792 1179.097526 1933.251020 3335.398072 6012.880488 12038.075842
2025-10-12 471.212032 733.855350 1165.113039 1964.538717 3507.490333 6591.015061 13951.244286
2025-10-19 446.311143 708.009780 1147.973114 1987.033619 3664.638947 7166.307942 16018.049538
2025-10-26 422.690999 682.042870 1127.696023 2000.470001 3804.576498 7730.149962 18222.702465
2025-11-02 407.508018 670.110324 1132.511183 2065.603816 4069.007826 8642.603356 21696.168556
2025-11-09 389.762296 652.192469 1124.848564 2105.646024 4288.204677 9504.780670 25377.008812
2025-11-16 371.166328 630.969039 1108.623693 2125.549410 4464.918048 10302.790784 29188.127371
2025-11-23 353.402765 609.703043 1090.099179 2137.951552 4626.034883 11099.139637 33340.549306
2025-11-30 340.204149 595.824485 1084.497307 2177.364864 4859.277778 12149.703078 38874.219456
2025-12-07 316.913273 560.879802 1033.755438 2110.051351 4813.792013 12398.662652 41547.040881
2025-12-14 296.113763 529.287376 987.197331 2047.045742 4769.897592 12644.887372 44344.897436
2025-12-21 276.145270 497.989273 938.793201 1974.575402 4690.307871 12766.818062 46706.183646
2025-12-28 271.239385 496.201874 951.791884 2049.027634 5023.796856 14290.445601 56168.241276
2026-01-04 262.956893 486.971877 948.103603 2082.558618 5249.201409 15525.248035 65107.447676
2026-01-11 254.411859 476.579096 940.973003 2106.670723 5452.251502 16745.913778 74864.718891